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What is the Obamacare penalty?

The Affordable Care Act's individual mandate penalty is still in place. Here's how to know if you're exempt – and if not, what you'd pay.

The penalty for not having health insurance in 2018:

We can talk all day about the ACA’s “carrots” – your incentives to enroll in an ACA-compliant health plan – but the fact of the matter is that the Affordable Care Act also provides “the stick” in the form of its individual mandate, otherwise known as the shared responsibility provision.

This well-known – and yes, controversial – provision stipulates that people who don’t have minimum essential coverage are subject to a tax penalty unless they’re exempt from the shared responsibility provision.

And individual health insurance (the kind you buy on your own, instead of getting coverage from an employer) is only available for purchase during open enrollment, unless you have a qualifying event later in the year. The open enrollment period applies both on and off the exchange.

So enroll between November 1 and December 15 to gain the peace of mind that comes with having insurance, and to avoid paying a significant penalty when you file your 2018 tax return.

The mandate penalty still applies

Although Republican lawmakers have tried throughout 2017 to eliminate the “Obamacare penalty,’ they have not been successful in passing legislation to do so. The individual mandate penalty is still in place, and is still being collected by the IRS.

On President Trump’s first day in office, he signed an executive order directing federal agencies to be as lenient as possible in their enforcement of the ACA. Shortly afterward, the IRS published a statement noting that they would continue to accept “silent returns” for 2016. Silent returns are those on which the tax filers simply don’t answer the question about whether they had health insurance throughout the year.

Silent returns were accepted for 2014 and 2015, but the IRS had planned to reject 2016 returns that didn’t answer the question one way or the other. Their decision to continue to accept silent returns was a direct result of Trump’s executive order, but all it did was maintain the status quo that had existed for the prior two years.

But everything about penalty enforcement is still the same as it was in previous years (the penalty became higher for 2016 than it was in prior years, and remained at that level in 2017 — but enforcement is unchanged). The IRS confirmed in a June 2017 letter that the executive order “does not change the law,” and that “taxpayers remain required to follow the law, including the requirement to have minimum essential coverage for each month, qualify for a coverage exemption for the month, or make a shared responsibility payment.”

And starting with the 2018 tax filing season, “silent” returns will no longer be accepted. All tax filers will have to indicate whether they had health insurance coverage during the previous year, and leaving the answer blank will result in rejected returns.

How the penalty is calculated

The “Obamacare penalty” is pro-rated for the number of months you’re without coverage. It’s one-twelfth of the annual penalty amount for each month you don’t have coverage – and “having coverage” means being insured for at least one day of the month in question.

One annual gap of less than three months time is allowed with no penalty, and there’s also a provision for handling gaps in coverage that span across two calendar years. (Note that a three-month gap in coverage would result in a penalty for all three months; the gap has to be less than three months in order to be exempt from the penalty.)

The penalty is higher than it used to be

The IRS reported in 2016 that for tax filers who owed a penalty for being uninsured in 2014, the average penalty amount was around $210. But for tax filers who were uninsured in 2016, the average penalty was projected to be almost $1,000.

The penalty for being uninsured in 2016 was assessed when tax returns were filed in 2017, and final data on the total amount collected is expected to become available in early 2018. But the IRS published preliminary data showing penalty amounts on tax returns filed by March 2, 2017, when there were still several weeks remaining in the tax filing season. At that point, 1.8 million returns had been filed that included a penalty, and the total penalty amount was $1.2 billion – an average of about $667 per filer who owed a penalty.

For 2014, the penalty was $95 per uninsured adult (plus $47.50 per uninsured child – the flat rate for children will always be half of the adult amount) up to a maximum of $285 per family (three times the single adult penalty, which continues to be the case going forward), OR 1 percent of modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) in excess of the tax filing threshold (2015 numbers here) whichever was greater.

For 2015, the penalty was the larger of $325 per uninsured adult, or two percent of MAGI above the tax filing threshold. And for 2016, the penalty was the larger of $695 per uninsured adult, or 2.5 percent of MAGI above the filing threshold – clearly a sharp increase from 2014, which is why the average uninsured tax filer owed so much more in penalties for 2016.

Starting in 2017, the percentage of income penalty remains unchanged, at two and a half percent of MAGI above the tax filing threshold. The flat fee is now subject to annual inflation adjustment, although no adjustments have been applied yet. For 2017, the inflation adjustment was zero. And for 2018, the IRS has again confirmed that there will be no inflation adjustment, so the flat-rate penalty will continue to be $695 per uninsured adult in 2018.

Regardless of the year, for tax filers with lower household incomes, the flat rate penalty applies, while for those with higher incomes, the percentage of income penalty applies – because the assessed penalty is whichever method results in a larger penalty.

The major matter of MAGI

It’s important to note that the MAGI calculation for the penalty is slightly different from the MAGI calculation for the ACA’s premium tax credits (subsidies). For premium tax credits, MAGI = AGI + foreign earned income + tax-exempt interest income + non-taxable Social Security benefits (this chart is a helpful guide).

But for the shared responsibility penalty calculation, MAGI = AGI + foreign earned income + tax-exempt interest income. Non-taxable Social Security benefits are not added back to AGI for the penalty calculation. The majority of Americans do not have foreign earned income or tax-exempt interest income, so for most people, MAGI for the penalty will be equal to AGI (from your tax return).

Your maximum penalty

The penalty can never exceed the national average cost for a Bronze plan. The IRS published the national average cost of a 2016 bronze plan in August 2016: For a single individual, the national average cost of a bronze plan was $223 per month ($2,676 for the year), and for a family with five or more members, it was $1,115 per month ($13,380 for the year).

But overall rates increased by roughly 25 percent for 2017, so it’s no surprise that the national average cost of a bronze plan – and thus the maximum penalty – is quite a bit higher in 2017. Revenue Procedure 2017-48 increased the maximum penalty to $272 per month for a single individual ($3,264 for the year), and $1,360 per month for a family of five or more ($16,320 for the year), if they’re uninsured in 2017.

The maximum penalty for 2017 only applies to uninsured households with incomes of $140,960 for a single individual, and $673,600 for a family (assuming the family’s filing status is married filing jointly). Most penalties for people who were uninsured in 2017 will be much lower, because few households have incomes that high, and most that do are already insured.

But while the maximum penalties only apply to the wealthiest among us, those income thresholds where the maximum penalty begins to apply were half as much in 2015 as they were for 2014, since the percentage of income penalty increased from 1 percent in 2014 to 2 percent in 2015. And it increased again – to two and a half percent – in 2016, where it will remain going forward.

But the national average cost of a bronze plan has also been steadily increasing, which means that people must have a higher income in order to have 2.5 percent of it reach or exceed the maximum penalty. The short story is that while average penalty amounts have risen considerably since 2014, the maximum penalties only apply to households that are quite well off, and most of those households tend to be insured and thus not subject to the penalty.

Increasing penalties

For a family of two adults and two children with a $40,000 MAGI, the individual mandate penalty for 2015 was $975 (calculated by adding $325 + $325 + $162.50 + $162.50). But if that same family had a $90,000 MAGI, the penalty was $1,388 instead, calculated as [(90,000 – 20,600) times 0.02 = $1,388] (note that the flat rate penalty results in a larger penalty at the lower income, while the percentage of income penalty results in a larger penalty at the higher income level).

For 2016, the penalty again increased substantially; it was assessed when 2016 tax returns were filed in 2017. Our hypothetical uninsured family of four earning $90,000 would have been subject to the flat rate penalty of $2,085 for 2016 ($695 per adult, $347.50 per child), as this is larger than the percentage of income penalty [(90,000 – 20,600) times 0.025 = $1,735]. But uninsured families with even higher incomes were penalized 2.5 percent of their taxable income when they filed their returns in early 2017.

For people who remained uninsured in 2017, the penalty was unchanged from 2016 (although the tax filing threshold increased, which effectively results in a slight reduction in the penalty if the percentage of income calculation is used). For people who are uninsured in 2018, the penalty will continue to be 2.5 percent of income above the tax filing threshold, but it’s expected that the flat rate penalty will be adjusted upwards based on inflation.

The IRS reported in January 2016 that 7.9 million tax filers owed the penalty for being uninsured in 2014, while 12.4 million tax filers qualified for exemptions. The following year, the number of people who owed the penalty decreased (which makes sense, given that the uninsured rate also decreased), but there was a slight uptick in the number of people who claimed exemptions: The IRS reported that 6.5 million tax filers owed the penalty for being uninsured in 2015, while 12.7 million tax filers qualified for exemptions.

Know your penalty before tax time

It’s important to be aware of how the penalty works before tax season arrives. If you don’t learn about the 2017 penalty until you file your taxes, you may find yourself stuck with a penalty for 2018 as well, because the open enrollment period for 2018 health insurance will be long-since over by the time 2017 tax returns are being filed. Open enrollment for 2018 coverage will be much shorter than previous open enrollment periods; it will end in mid-December in most states, which will be the first time that open enrollment hasn’t extended into the new year.

The tax filing season in early 2015 was the first time that people encountered the ACA’s tax penalty on their returns. Prior to that, a significant number of people weren’t aware that they’d be penalized for not having health insurance, and in all but three states, a special enrollment period was available to allow people facing 2014 penalties to enroll in a plan for 2015.

But no such special enrollment period was granted in 2016 or 2017, since people are much more aware of the fact that they have to maintain health insurance coverage in order to avoid a penalty.

ACA individual mandate penalty calculator

You can use our calculator to see how much your penalty will be if you are without coverage this year, or if you’re considering remaining uninsured in 2018. If you’re planning to go without health insurance and just pay the shared responsibility provision’s penalty, take a moment to calculate what the penalty will actually be.

You’ll probably find that it makes more sense to purchase health insurance instead, especially if you qualify for subsidies to help pay for it.